Former Democratic Gov. John Carlin and former Republican House Speaker Mike O’Neal have starkly different views on the condition of Kansas government. That divergence was plain as the two met in Topeka Thursday for a discussion about the size of government recorded for KCUR’s Statehouse Blend Kansas podcast.
O’Neal and Carlin agree on one thing -- that they don’t know exactly what the “right size” of state government is.
“It’s not about high or low,” says Carlin, but about finding the right tax level to get return on investment.
O’Neal says the goal of the 2012 tax cuts, passed while he was Kansas House Speaker, wasn’t shrinking state government, it was boosting the economy. He says government will shrink, at least temporarily, while waiting for the economic growth that tax cuts are aimed at boosting.
“It’s not a shot of adrenaline, as I think we’ve found out," says O'Neal. "In fact, it’s very hard for anyone to have predicted the stagnation nationally, because everybody thought they’d pull out of the recession quicker than they did."
Carlin says the results of the August primaries, where multiple incumbent conservatives lost to more moderate challengers, were a referendum on the state’s tax policy and direction.
“I think it’s an understanding of the people of Kansas that what we tried did not work,” says Carlin.
O’Neal now heads the Kansas Chamber of Commerce, which had endorsed all the incumbent Republican legislators defeated in the primaries. He says this is just another swing in Kansas politics like others in the past.
“People want something different,” says O’Neal, suggesting there's an anti-incumbency vibe and distrust of government at all levels in 2016. “Lower taxes tend to stimulate our economy, that’s still our philosophy.”
O’Neal says for years Kansas had a very high number of state employees based on its population and advocates for a focus on growing the private sector.
“That doesn’t necessarily mean firing everybody in state government and outsourcing everything, but there are certainly some efficiencies,” says O’Neal.
Carlin argues a loss of state workers in the wake of the tax cuts has had a negative impact on state services like mental health care.
“There’s pain. Citizens know that,” says Carlin. It’s not just about increasing services, he says, “it’s about getting back to quality.”
Without a change in course on tax policy, Carlin says the state won’t be able to invest in infrastructure and education, and he says that means Kansas won’t be competitive in attracting people and business.
“If we don’t invest at a level that gives people confidence that we’re funding a quality public education system, then people look at leaving, not coming,” says Carlin.
O’Neal says Kansas isn’t in the tough spot Carlin thinks it is.
O’Neal blames the media for not telling positive stories about the state and attacking the administration of Governor Sam Brownback.
“It pains us to hear all the people who hear things are going down the toilet. If you talk about that enough, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy,” says O’Neal.
He says Kansas still does well in many state comparisons and has a low unemployment rate.
“The good news is we’ve got low unemployment. The bad news is we’ve got low unemployment,” says O’Neal, adding that unemployment is so low businesses actually are having difficulty finding qualified workers for some jobs.
Carlin says that trend will continue unless Kansas changes course and invests in education. O’Neal says Kansas has been generous in its funding of public education.
A former speaker of the Kansas House and former Kansas governor have different takeaways from the recent primary election. Multiple moderate Republican challengers beat conservative state lawmakers in the primary.
Former Democratic Governor John Carlin says dissatisfaction with Kansas tax policy and the direction of the state drove the primary results and could drive further changes in the November election.
“It’s not just a trend. I think it’s an understanding of the people of Kansas that what we tried did not work,” says Carlin.
Former Republican House Speaker Mike O’Neal says this is simply a shift in Kansas politics the likes of which the state has seen in the past. He agrees voters want change, but says it’s not necessarily caused by state polices.
“You’ve got a lot of things going on at the national level. You’ve got a lot of anti-incumbency at the national level. Distrust in state government, local government, federal government. People want something different,” says O’Neal.
O’Neal and Carlin met in Topeka to talk about the direction of Kansas government for a recording of KCUR’s Statehouse Blend podcast.